Spain vs Italy Match Betting Tips

Reading Time 14 Mins Categories Euro 2024, Latest Betting Tips

Three-time UEFA Euro champions Spain will clash with two-time champions Italy in Euro 2024 Group B second round of matches on Thursday. It promises to be a thriller as the two teams renew rivalries. Who will win the match?

Follow our Spain vs Italy match betting tips for Kenya sport fans to place winning bets and monetize your passion. In this article, you will learn key stats, past results, team strengths, and other key indicators, including suggested predictions for an informed wagering on the match.

Spain vs Italy Match Details

Spain vs Italy
spain vs italy

General
Details

  • Date: 20/06/2024
  • Time: 20:00h
  • Stadium: Veltins-Arena
  • Where to watch: SportyTV Nigeria and Supersport South Africa
  • Ticket info: 27,697.29Ksh to 83,091.87Ksh.

Spain Lineup
(Predicted)

  • Unai Simon
  • Marc Cucurella
  • Robin Le Normand
  • Nacho
  • Dani Carvajal
  • Fabian Ruiz
  • Rodri
  • Pedri
  • Nico Williams
  • Alvaro Morata
  • Lamine Yamal

Italy Lineup
(Predicted)

  • Gianluigi Donnarumma
  • Giovanni Di Lorenzo
  • Riccardo Calafiori
  • Alessandro Bastoni
  • Federico Dimarco
  • Nicolo Barella
  • Jorginho
  • Davide Frattesi
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 
  • Federico Chiesa
  • Gianluca Scamacca.

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Spain vs Italy Head to Head to Analysis

The Spain vs Italy match is going to be a European classic for football lovers. The two teams boast heroic records in the tournament and are among the best teams in the continent. La Roja are making their 12th appearance in the competition and are one of the only two teams that have won the tournament three times alongside Germany. 

The 2010 World Cup winners first made their appearance in the continental showpiece in 1964 and won it on their maiden appearance. Like their opponents, Italy won the tournament on their maiden appearance in 1968. The current edition is their 10th appearance in the tournament. In their nine Euro campaigns.

The rollercoaster Group B matchup on Thursday will be the 42nd time the two sides have locked horns with La Roja coming out top with 13 wins against Gli Azzurri’s 11 wins. 16 of the encounters have ended in a draw. 91 goals have been scored In the 41 encounters, with Italy scoring  46 goals – a goal better than their Spanish counterparts, who have hurled in 45 goals. 8 of the 41 clashes have been in the European Championship with Italy winning twice, losing twice, and drawing 4 times.

Key Factors Influencing The Match

Before we dive into our Spain vs Italy match betting tips for our Kenya sports fans, let’s take a look at factors that will influence this match below;

FIFA ranking

This offers spatial clues to the likely texture – difficulty – and outcome of the match. FIFA ranks men’s national teams based on their performances in international matches. The two teams will be heading into the match on a competitive standing on the global performance scale. Spain occupy 8th place on the ranking with 1727.5 points while Italy are 9th with 1724.6 points. Their proximity on the rankings shows that the match will be competitive.

Past results

Before wagering on your Spain vs Italy football predictions, it is crucial to look up the past results to see how the two teams fare. It provides a casual framework to assess and analyze possible outcomes in the match. Spain vs Italy match is one of the renowned European rivalries.

Famously dubbed as ‘The Mediterranean Derby,’ it is usually a rollercoaster when the two sides renew rivalries. The last results have pointed to a tight and competitive clash that has churned out an almost equal number of wins and goals. They have shared two wins apiece in their past four meetings in the UEFA European Championship. The Thursday clash will be a tie-breaker.

Style of play

Luis de la played his usual flexible 4-3-3 attacking formation against Croatia. Attacking wing-backs, Dani Carvajal and Marc Cucurella manned the right-back and left-back role, respectively. During La Roja’s offensive, they pull high up the field to mount pressure on the opponents’ defence.

While it frequently exposed their backline to pluckable loopholes, Nacho and Le Normand were equal to the task of keeping the opponents at bare. Also, Carvajal and Cucurella will quickly drop back to their traditional roles when the team is under pressure. Luis de la Fuente is likely to stick to the trademark tactics against the Italians. Italy boss and former Napoli manager Luciano Spalleti plays a similar 4-3-3 attacking formation with the likes of Dimarco and Di Lorenzo used more as attacking bulwarks against opponents.

Team quality

Like other fixtures, Spain vs Italy match will be largely determined by the depth of quality in the ranks of the two teams. While Italy cannot be underrated, Spain boast a more energetic and talented squad than their Italian counterparts. La Roja brought that to bear in their Group B opener against 2023 UEFA Nations League final opponents Croatia.

With a good blend of youth and experience, the three-time champions steamrollered to a thumping 3-0 victory over the 2022 World Cup bronze medalists. On the other hand, Gli Azzurri survived Albania’s early scare to scrape to a narrow 2-1 win in their opening fixture.

Betting Tips

Having analyzed the match and taking stock of possible outcomes, we have compiled our Spain vs Italy match betting tips for Kenya sports fans. Check below for a proven guide to your Spain vs Italy football predictions;

Draw: The two teams are close in terms of strength, if not equal. So, in our match betting tips for Kenya sports fans is the ‘draw’ outcome. The two teams are the best in Group B. They opened their campaign with wins and will not want to surrender easily as the match is hugely significant in the group. Also, they play the same style of football and deploy similar tactics. It may not be easy for one to get the better of the other. Moreover, their past results have shown a competitive match history. So, a more likely outcome to include in your bet list is the draw odd.

Spain win: While past results have shown a strongly contested tie between the two sides, La Roja has a slight advantage over The Blues in terms of the quality of players. This is usually a dominant factor to consider generally in sports and football betting.

Irrespective of the style of play, match environment, or past results, the quality of each team in a match always weighs heavily on the outcome of the match. From our analysis, we are also suggesting ‘Spain to win’ in our Spain vs Italy match betting tips. Although it will be a tight game, La Roja are best positioned to win this tie compared to their Italian counterparts.

Spain win or draw:  Also, we are suggesting ‘Spain to win or draw’ in our match betting tips for Kenya sports fans. This is one of the surest selections to include in your bet list. Arguably, Italy are a strong side but they are not likely to see off La Roja. This could be attested to by how the two teams fared in their opening match.

Spain defeated Croatia – a relatively stronger team in the group – emphatically while Italy struggled to scrape out a narrow win over Albania, who are considered underdogs in the group. So, the Luciano Spalletti-led side will struggle against Spain despite the proximity in key stats and indicators. If they don’t lose, the least they will get will be a draw.

Over 1.5: This odds will be relatively small but it is worth considering in your Spain vs Italy football predictions. From our review of their past results, we discovered the two teams have maintained a ‘goal per game’ value of over 1.0. This means most of their matches have produced two goals or more. Spain have scored 45 goals while Italy have scored 46 goals. So, a barren outcome or a one-goal outcome is less likely. Goal range is likely to fall between 2-5 goals. 

Both teams to score: There may not be rain of goals in the match but both teams are likely to score. Of course, 91 goals have been scored in the 41 encounters. This means an average of two goals have been scored per match.

The goals have been shared almost equally. With both sides still maintaining their knack for attacking football, characterized by bold high lines during offensives, goals will be scored by both sides. They boast sharp attackers who will look to exploit the smallest of defensive gaps and ripple the back of the net with goals. So, we have included the ‘both team to score’ option in our betting tips for Kenya sports fans.

Betting Odds

Bookmakers’ Spain vs Italy football predictions tend to give La Roja a slight advantage to win. The odds vary across different sports and football betting sites.

Generally, ‘Spain to win’ varies between 2.21 to 2.23. Draw odds vary from 3.37 to 3.39. Some bookmakers offer as much as 3.40. ‘Italy to win’ odds are between 3.78 to 3.80.

Final Thoughts on the Match

Spain vs Italy Euro 2024 Group B match is a European football classic every Kenya sports fan will not want to miss. As you share in the thrill of the anticipated roller coaster on Thursday, follow our match betting tips for Kenya sports fans to place winning bets and monetize your passion.

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